EM local bonds stayed strong despite choppy markets, as UK/German policy stayed on a consolidation/investment path. India and South Korea surprised with strong growth, while EM sovereigns like Zambia and Qatar saw rating support.
Dhiren Shah (Lead Portfolio Manager of the Ashmore EM Equity Fund), and Gustavo Medeiros (Ashmore’s Global Head of Research). During this live webinar they discussed the opportunities present in Emerging Market Equity.
Israel declared war on Hamas following an organised attack on the country, 50 years after the Yom Kippur War. A Bank of International Settlements (BIS) paper published last week suggests the global supply chain has lengthened since the Covid-19 pandemic.
Global oil markets experienced a bullish run towards the USD 100 per barrel level. High oil prices and increased supply of US Treasury (UST) bonds led to a strong sell-off in rates. Chinese economic data was better than consensus before the...
The energy transition debate is maturing. The Paris Agreement’s goal of limiting the increase in the global average temperature to 2.0°C, ideally 1.5°C, above pre-industrial levels is imperative to avoid a challenging climate situation.
A hawkish dot-plot brought US interest rates higher, but risks are increasing. Disputes over Ukrainian grain exports increased tensions in Eastern Europe. JP Morgan announced it will include India in its Emerging Market (EM) Government bond index...
Chinese electric vehicle (EV) sales rose by 8.5% in August to a record level. China has surpassed both Germany and Japan as the largest exporter of vehicles in the world...
The 18th G20 Summit was held in New Delhi. India used its presidency to become a conduit for greater cooperation between the West and the “Global South”...
Alexis de Mones (Portfolio Manager, Local Currency), and Gustavo Medeiros (Ashmore’s Global Head of Research). During this live webinar they discussed the opportunities present in Local Currency Bonds.
The military seized power in Gabon, Central Africa. Emerging Market (EM) Purchasing Manager Indices (PMIs) rebounded, while Developed Markets (DM) PMIs deteriorated. Oil prices kept rising towards USD 90 per barrel following tighter inventories.
The BRICS group of countries (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa) announced the inclusion of several other countries. China announced further measures to boost growth (and stock prices). Thailand Parliament elected a new government, led by...
The US and Chinese economic surprise indices push markets into peak US optimism and peak China pessimism. US Treasury yields continue to rise, driven by real rates, under the twin effects of strong data and large Treasury issuance. China’s economic...
The role of the human psychological cycle in driving stock and bond prices is well understood and pre-dates behavioural economics. There are elements that suggest we may be going through another period of ‘irrational exuberance’ as several long-term...
Argentinian presidential primary election provides shock defeat of the traditional parties; China’s credit data for July disappoints after a strong June; Gabon issues a blue bond; Commodity prices give everyone a bit of a scare; Ecuador bonds shrug off...
What is the best performing currency in 2023 so far? Against all odds and biases, the Colombian Peso (COP), which is up 16.8% against the USD year-to-date and 22.8% including the ‘carry’, or the interest rate differential earned by carrying long...
The United States (US) yield curve bear-steepened after the government’s credit rating was downgraded which – alongside higher supply of US Treasuries – led to higher market volatility. The correlation between yields of 10-year yields and US stocks hit...
The strong performance of equity markets last week was related to the market interpretation of the main central bank decisions, seeing ‘not hawkish’ as ‘dovish’, and confusion over the actions of the Bank of Japan (BOJ). Chinese stocks outperformed on...
Believe it or not, Emerging Markets (EM) local currency bonds have been outperforming global fixed income asset classes for the past 18-months. Most of the outperformance has been based on an early and more appropriate hiking cycle from EM central...
This week’s events will have important developments for asset prices in the remainder of the northern hemisphere summer season, including G-3 central bank decisions, reaction to earnings and whether Ukraine will be allowed to export its grains via the...