EM local bonds stayed strong despite choppy markets, as UK/German policy stayed on a consolidation/investment path. India and South Korea surprised with strong growth, while EM sovereigns like Zambia and Qatar saw rating support.
Sharp increase in yields post strong labour market report and increase in oil prices. Chinese stocks outperform again ahead of end of Golden Week holiday. Iran missile strikes against Israel targeted civilian areas, further escalating the regional..
PBoC cut policy rates by 20bps, reserve requirement ratio by 50bps, RMB 700bn allocated for stock buybacks. Politburo pledged to support the housing market and signalled fiscal support. Israel killed Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah...
A decade of tech-driven US stock market outperformance has contrasted with tepid returns for Emerging Market indices. But past returns are not an indicator of future performance, and the drivers of markets over the next decade will be quite different...
US Fed’s 50bp cut led to risk rally last week. Major escalation of conflict between Israel and Hezbollah. Dovish moves from Chinese central bank. Sri Lanka elect left-wing President, sparking concerns over IMF programme. Brazil hike 25bp...
60% probability of FOMC cutting 50bp now priced. More weak demand data from China. Javier Milei exercised veto power of a fiscal expansion policy in Argentina. Sri Lanka election outcome meaningful for IMF programme. IMF set to meet this month...
Soft US economic data set the tone for asset prices. Oil prices hit yearly lows and kept plunging. Frontier stocks continue to outperform, illustrating their diversification benefits. Chinese monetary intervention supporting yuan. Mexican judiciary...
Dhiren Shah (Lead Portfolio Manager of the Ashmore EM Equity Fund) and Gustavo Medeiros (Ashmore’s Global Head of Research) discuss Fed rate cuts & EM Equities.
Upwards GDP revisions in US lead markets to reprice ‘bullish scenario’ of rate cuts and soft-landing. Strikes in Israel after nationwide protests against Netanyahu’s handling of hostage negotiations. China considers a plan to allow homeowners to...
Jackson Hole pivot from Powell leaves 50bps September cut on the table. Brent crude rises back above USD80 on heightened geopolitical risk and Libyan supply constraints. China and Indonesia hold policy rates, signalling a pivot after the Fed’s first...
Very strong week for global equities, spurred by benign US retail sales and jobs data. MSCI ACWI is now just 1.7% away from July record high. Jokowi’s last budget kept an austere framework in Indonesia.The Thai parliament quickly appointed Paetongtarn...
Warren Buffett’s mantra of “being greedy when others are fearful” has delivered good returns for faithful investors over the long term. Our analysis shows that asset allocators who buy Emerging Market (EM) assets during volatility spikes have delivered...
Since early June, Trump has been polling as the most likely candidate to win the 2024 presidency. After a disastrous July, Biden dropping out of the Presidential race is a boost for the Democrats. Kamala Harris is a better candidate and may gather...
Unwind of crowded positions dominated price action over the last two weeks. G-20 OECD leading indicator revisions show a weaker-than-expected cycle. Discussions for a ceasefire in Ukraine intensified. Heightened risk of conflict between Iran and...
Biden dropped out of US Presidential election and endorsed Kamala Harris. Trump signalled his preferred policies and chose his running mate. Sentiment to US stocks was bullish ahead of key events like the first Fed rate cut and US elections. China cut...
Trump shooting changes the dynamics, but not the trends, of the US presidential race. EM assets outperformed last week, buoyed by a weaker Dollar. China further restricted short selling as data weakened ahead of the Third Plenum. South Korea discussed...
US Treasuries rally despite ‘Trump premium’ post-debate. In the UK, Labour won a ‘loveless’ landslide. Far-right tide stemmed in France as left-wing coalition won most votes. Purchasing Managers Indices softened further in Europe, resilient in EM Asia