By Gustavo Medeiros, Ben Underhill
The Emerging View

EM Sovereign Debt: The ultra-marathon runner goes on

Inflation has peaked, the capex supercycle rolls on, and EM fundamentals keep improving. We explain why EM sovereign debt, yielding close to 7%, remains one of the most attractively valued asset classes today.

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Weekly investor research

The arrival of Kimi K3 tests investors’ faith in Jevons’ Paradox

Chinese open-weight model Kimi K3 raises questions over AI lab monetisation, testing investors’ faith in Jevons’ Paradox. The Korean memory stock unwind extends, US CPI turns negative and the Bank of Korea hikes for the first time in three years.
Weekly investor research

Hormuz hostilities and a memory stock correction

US-Iran hostilities push oil back to nearly USD 80 and Korean memory stocks fall in a positioning unwind. SK Hynix’s ADRs debut on Nasdaq, China’s central bank adds to gold, and Ukraine secures EUR 140bn in weaponry pledges at the Ankara NATO summit.
Video

WEBINAR: EM Sovereign Debt: The yields are all-right

Watch the replay of this insightful webinar where Gustavo Medeiros (Global Head of Research) and Christian Schniewind (Portfolio Manager for Emerging Markets Debt) discuss their views on EM sovereign debt dynamics.

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Market commentary
Market Commentary

Saudi Arabia’s Big Year

It was announced on 28 March that Saudi Arabia will be a constituent of the FTSE Emerging Markets index.
Market commentary
Market Commentary

The limits of protectionism

Last night the US government announced details of a USD 50bn package of tariffs on Chinese imports.
Market commentary
Market Commentary

Second Chance Saloon

Emerging Markets equity investors have once again over reacted to Developed Market events.
Emerging view
The Emerging View

2018 EM fixed income outlook

2018 is likely to see strong inflows to EM local markets on the back of strong performance, good value and improving fundamentals.
Emerging view
The Emerging View

The DM savings glut

In 2005 Former Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke argued that a savings glut in EM explained the US current account deficit.
Emerging view
The Emerging View

EM risk-free return

Last night’s S&P downgrade of El Salvador’s credit rating to Selective Default makes this report on Emerging Markets (EM) external debt extremely timely.
Emerging view
The Emerging View

Intra-EM trade

The view that Developed Market bonds are risk-free and that Emerging Markets (EMs) bonds are risky remains deeply entrenched.
Market commentary
Market Commentary

What’s down with the Dollar?

Quantitative Easing (QE) was the largest and most distortionary intervention ever made in global bond markets and it particularly favoured US markets.
Emerging view
The Emerging View

Passive is active: the EM index problem

In a recent article about China’s inclusion in the MSCI benchmark index the Financial Times columnist John Authers made the following astute observation: “There is something ungainly in the way [China’s index inclusion] has been outsourced to MSCI..."