By Gustavo Medeiros, Ben Underhill, Simon Cooke
The Emerging View

Generating impact and returns through EM public debt markets

Global sustainability funding needs are overwhelmingly concentrated in emerging markets, yet impact capital still skews to developed markets. The September Emerging View sets out why EM public debt is the most scalable way to close the gap.

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The Emerging View

Generating impact and returns through EM public debt markets

Global sustainability funding needs are overwhelmingly concentrated in emerging markets, yet impact capital still skews to developed markets. The September Emerging View sets out why EM public debt is the most scalable way to close the gap.
Weekly investor research

Bonds under pressure as Hormuz conflict flares up

Global bond yields remain under pressure as Strait of Hormuz tensions flare. The 10-year JGB tops 3% for the first time since 1996, S&P affirms India's 'BBB' rating and the Bank of Korea hikes to 3.0%.
Weekly investor research

The interventionist maths: higher JPY + lower UST = weaker USD

Bessent flags more long-end UST intervention; Iran's tone turns pragmatic. Ratings skew positive: Pakistan to B3, Kazakhstan to BBB, Poland A- negative. Egypt holds at 19%; South Africa CPI eases to 4.3%; Vietnam and Colombia flag reform needs.

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The final shock

Lebanon announced a moratorium on its sovereign debt.
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Volatility and opportunity

Ecuadorian bonds experienced considerable price volatility due to inaccurate journalism.
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Chinese bonds deliver in bear markets

Chinese local currency government bonds are entering JP Morgan’s EM local bond index, the GBI-EM GD, at the end of this month.
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The option value of waiting

High levels of uncertainty are not only associated with a scarcity of facts, but also with high trading costs.
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The power of carry

Quantitative Easing (QE) policies in developed countries triggered a flight from yield in Emerging Markets (EM) as investors pursued capital gains in developed markets instead.
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Habemus trade deals

The signing of the phase one trade deal between the United States (US) and China and the ratification of USMCA by the US Senate reduced tail risks and boosted short term market sentiment.
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Delightful diversification

Often underappreciated, the benefits of diversification in external debt were richly on display in 2019, when the asset class returned 15% despite significant volatility in a number of EM countries, including Argentina.