Aerial drone view of beautiful caribbean tropical island Cayo Levantado beach with palms and boat. Bacardi Island, Dominican Republic.
By Ben Underhill
The Emerging View

The case for frontier debt

It’s a catchy axiom that “frontier markets are what emerging markets used to be,” and there’s some truth to it. As emerging markets (EMs) grow and become more interconnected with the global economy, they are increasingly more efficient and correlated...

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Spaced mixture of mine, mining ores, commodities, metals, coal. Background concept, texture, rocks. Variety, mixed, many, multi-colored, colorful.
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China plays its trump card (rare earths); Trump replays his (tariffs)

China tightens rare-earth exports; Trump eyes 100% tariffs. US shutdown ongoing. Oil falls; Gaza ceasefire. China exports firm, domestic/property weak. $20bn US-Argentina swap. Brazil tax reform; inflation down. Kazakhstan +150bps. Egypt & Ghana upgrades.

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The power of carry

Quantitative Easing (QE) policies in developed countries triggered a flight from yield in Emerging Markets (EM) as investors pursued capital gains in developed markets instead.
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Habemus trade deals

The signing of the phase one trade deal between the United States (US) and China and the ratification of USMCA by the US Senate reduced tail risks and boosted short term market sentiment.
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Delightful diversification

Often underappreciated, the benefits of diversification in external debt were richly on display in 2019, when the asset class returned 15% despite significant volatility in a number of EM countries, including Argentina.
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The 2020-2024 EM fixed income outlook

Following another year of strong returns, EM fixed income has outperformed developed bond markets by a significant margin over the past four years.
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The opportunity of EM real estate

Lower interest rates in the aftermath of the Global Financial Crisis are increasing the affordability of real estate while rendering conventional liquid fixed income in developed economies (DM) less attractive.
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Argentina Q&A

Argentina once again finds itself in the grip of financial turmoil.
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The case for EM local currency debt

The establishment of local bond markets has been the single most important structural change in Emerging Markets (EM) in the past quarter of a century.