Close-up river stream in forest.
By Gustavo Medeiros, Ben Underhill
The Emerging View

Flows to EM: The end of the beginning

As emerging market (EM) outperformance extends, investors are now frequently asking us about flows to EM assets. In this month’s Emerging View, we review data from Morningstar which confirms our answer: that net inflows have become a reality only since H2

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Globe map showing the Middle East.
Weekly investor research

Weeks when decades happen

Reports say US/Israel struck Iran, killing Khamenei; oil +10% but markets calm. CNY travel record, spending middling; Koreans buy local stocks. Argentina labour reform passed; inflation beat in BR/MX/US; IMF reviews ok in Egypt.
Cityscape night view of Seoul, South Korea at sunset time.
Weekly investor research

Flows to EM assets pick up steam as Korean exports surge

EM inflows keep accelerating; Korean tech exports jump. US tariff uncertainty returns after IEEPA ruling; Fed minutes stay cautious with core PCE elevated. China to offer zero tariffs to 53 African countries from 1 May.
Artificial Intelligence chatbot assistant glowing on modern futuristic technology background.
Weekly investor research

AI driving EM stocks up and US stocks down

US data still suggests a “Goldilocks” backdrop as inflation cools; risk sentiment is shaky on AI fears but EM equities remain resilient. In EM, Brazil’s Lula has slipped to 45% approval and Mexico’s central bank held rates at 7.00% with a dovish tilt.

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Ashmore video
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'EM in 10' update - July 2023

Gustavo Medeiros, Ashmore’s Head of Research, answers some timely questions with his views about recent events and performance in Emerging Markets for our 'EM in 10' monthly video review.
India takes centre stage
The Emerging View

India takes centre stage

India has a compelling investment case. Over the last ten years, the MSCI India index has delivered over 135% returns in USD. Over the last three to five years, the same index has delivered 69% and 56% returns respectively, outperforming the MSCI...
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Weekly investor research

Switching the focus: diverging policy, with one eye on diplomacy

The US Federal Reserve (Fed) pauses but remains hawkish, and the European Central Bank (ECB) hikes 0.25% and signals more hikes. Conversely in Asia, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) remains dovish despite elevated core consumer price index (CPI) inflation, and...
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India takes centre stage

Rashi Talwar Bhatia, Portfolio Manager for India Equity, and Gustavo Medeiros, Ashmore’s Global Head of Research discuss the opportunities present in the India Equity universe and their outlook for the second half of 2023 and beyond. 
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Weekly investor research

Dancing to the Fed’s rate hike ‘skip’

The benign macroeconomic backdrop and the US Federal Reserve (Fed) inclination to ‘skip’ this month’s rate hike are music to investors’ ears. Flows into credit products and Emerging Markets (EM) bond issuance have benefitted from improved sentiment.
Turkish flag flying in the sky
Weekly investor research

A welcome lull in policy uncertainty

In Türkiye, President Erdogan throws an olive branch to the market by appointing an old friend. OPEC+ oil production cuts cause barely a ripple on Brent crude prices, as global inflationary pressures show signs of abating. In the United States (US)...
Semiconductor manufacturing with 3d rendering robotic arms with silicon wafers
Live at the Sub-ICs

The semiconductor cycle is dead, long live the super cycle!

The health of developed market (DM) economies is in doubt with bank profitability stresses highlighting the impact of tight financial conditions on the real economy. This is prompting some to question whether enough downside risk is priced in DM equity...
Small (EM) is beautiful
Video

Small (EM) is beautiful

Patrick Cadell, Portfolio Manager for Emerging Markets Small Cap Equity and Gustavo Medeiros, Ashmore’s Head of Research discuss the opportunities present in the Emerging Market Small Cap Equity universe and the outlook for the second half of 2023 and...
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Weekly investor research

EM elections: good result in Thailand, poor results in Türkiye

It was a good outcome in the Thai presidential elections in terms of fostering liberal economic reforms. In Türkiye, Erdogan won most votes but fell short of the 50% mark, leading to a 28 May run-off. Argentina’s inflation rose further. In Colombia, ...
Bank Negara Malaysia
Weekly investor research

We wish all central banks were steady as Bank Negara Malaysia

The US Federal Reserve (Fed) and the European Central Bank (ECB) hiked policy rates by 25 basis points (bps), in line with consensus. Bank Negara Malaysia also hiked by 25bps, but its track record suggests a much better management of macro stability...