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By Gustavo Medeiros, Ben Underhill
The Emerging View

Flows to EM: The end of the beginning

As emerging market (EM) outperformance extends, investors are now frequently asking us about flows to EM assets. In this month’s Emerging View, we review data from Morningstar which confirms our answer: that net inflows have become a reality only since H2

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Weekly investor research

Weeks when decades happen

Reports say US/Israel struck Iran, killing Khamenei; oil +10% but markets calm. CNY travel record, spending middling; Koreans buy local stocks. Argentina labour reform passed; inflation beat in BR/MX/US; IMF reviews ok in Egypt.
Cityscape night view of Seoul, South Korea at sunset time.
Weekly investor research

Flows to EM assets pick up steam as Korean exports surge

EM inflows keep accelerating; Korean tech exports jump. US tariff uncertainty returns after IEEPA ruling; Fed minutes stay cautious with core PCE elevated. China to offer zero tariffs to 53 African countries from 1 May.
Artificial Intelligence chatbot assistant glowing on modern futuristic technology background.
Weekly investor research

AI driving EM stocks up and US stocks down

US data still suggests a “Goldilocks” backdrop as inflation cools; risk sentiment is shaky on AI fears but EM equities remain resilient. In EM, Brazil’s Lula has slipped to 45% approval and Mexico’s central bank held rates at 7.00% with a dovish tilt.

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Let’s talk about politics

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'EM in 10' update - May 2023

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EM local assets outperform on weak USD

Emerging Market (EM) stocks and local bonds outperformed last week due to a weaker US dollar, better-than-expected economic data from China, and lower inflation in Brazil and India. Argentina’s inflation increased further, partially due to the drought...
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'EM in 10' update - April 2023

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Staying the course

Central banks in the United States (US) and United Kingdom (UK) hiked their policy rates, but framed their forward guidance as data-dependent, mostly due to risks of a significant deterioration in credit conditions. The flash Purchasing Manager Indices...
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Navigating a turbulent environment: EM IG to the rescue

Economic growth and inflation have surprised to the upside so far in 2023, not only thanks to the reopening of the Chinese economy, but also due to the resilience of the labour markets. The combination of a resilient economy and inflation has boosted...
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It’s so hard to read the economy!

Leading indicators in February suggested global manufacturing slowed but services advanced after inflation was higher than expected in January – a confusing read for global macro dynamics. China called for a ceasefire and peace process in Ukraine but...
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Is a Ukraine ceasefire likely?

Meetings and public statements suggest an attempt to build multilateral support for a ceasefire in Ukraine. China’s Xi Jinping wrote an article in support of boosting income for his country’s low and middle classes as well as supporting its real estate...
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Ashmore Emerging Markets Equity Fund 5 year anniversary!

The past 5 years in Emerging Markets (EM) have been challenging, impacted by a series of global macroeconomic shocks triggering elevated market volatility and gyrations in market leadership. This was exemplified by the MSCI EM returning close to 0%...
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