Close-up river stream in forest.
By Gustavo Medeiros, Ben Underhill
The Emerging View

Flows to EM: The end of the beginning

As emerging market (EM) outperformance extends, investors are now frequently asking us about flows to EM assets. In this month’s Emerging View, we review data from Morningstar which confirms our answer: that net inflows have become a reality only since H2

Subscribe to our insights

Subscribe and get notified as soon as we publish our content

The latest insights from our categories

Globe map showing the Middle East.
Weekly investor research

Weeks when decades happen

Reports say US/Israel struck Iran, killing Khamenei; oil +10% but markets calm. CNY travel record, spending middling; Koreans buy local stocks. Argentina labour reform passed; inflation beat in BR/MX/US; IMF reviews ok in Egypt.
Cityscape night view of Seoul, South Korea at sunset time.
Weekly investor research

Flows to EM assets pick up steam as Korean exports surge

EM inflows keep accelerating; Korean tech exports jump. US tariff uncertainty returns after IEEPA ruling; Fed minutes stay cautious with core PCE elevated. China to offer zero tariffs to 53 African countries from 1 May.
Artificial Intelligence chatbot assistant glowing on modern futuristic technology background.
Weekly investor research

AI driving EM stocks up and US stocks down

US data still suggests a “Goldilocks” backdrop as inflation cools; risk sentiment is shaky on AI fears but EM equities remain resilient. In EM, Brazil’s Lula has slipped to 45% approval and Mexico’s central bank held rates at 7.00% with a dovish tilt.

Latest Insights

Greed
Weekly investor research

Greed is back!

Global central banks delivered a hawkish tone, but market moves were mostly related to positioning...
Ashmore video
Video

'EM in 10' update - February 2023

Gustavo Medeiros, Ashmore’s Head of Research, answers some timely questions about recent events and performance in Emerging Markets for our 'EM in 10' monthly video review.
Two puzzle pieces
Weekly investor research

Our year of two halves thesis stays intact

Chinese stocks’ outperformance extended in 2023, allowing for another relief rally into Developed Markets (DM) stocks. Argentina announced a bond buyback. Political noise remained loud in Brazil...
Nanjing Road Shanghai
Weekly investor research

Hopes of an economic rebound in China float many boats

An encouraging start to 2023, as the re-opening of China’s economy goes ahead. A new year, a rebirth of EM primary market issuance. The storming of the Federal District by supporters of ex-president Bolsonaro in Brazil echoes the similar event on 6 Jan...
Boxing gloves
Weekly investor research

Hawks deliver a one-two strike

Global equity markets attempt to rise after consumer price index (CPI) inflation was lower than expected across the world, with US equities rallying sharply after its CPI release last Tuesday. However, stocks sold off after the “one-two hawk strike” by...
Ashmore video
Video

EM in 10 - 2023 Outlook summary

Gustavo Medeiros, Ashmore’s Head of Research, summarises the recently published 2023 Outlooks for Emerging Markets.
A year of two halves
The Emerging View

2023 Outlook for Emerging Markets - A year of two halves

Emerging Market (EM) assets were subject to three strong headwinds in 2022, namely, China’s zero Covid-19 and real estate crisis, aggressive interest rate tightening from the US Federal Reserve (Fed), and the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Two out of...
Shanghai China
Weekly investor research

EM PMIs still outperforming as China eases mobility further

Purchasing Managers’ Indices (PMIs) for Emerging Markets (EM) declined very slightly, contrasting with the deterioration on developed world PMIs. Europe agreed on capping the price of Russian oil. Large Chinese cities eased mobility restrictions.
Flashing red light
Weekly investor research

Flashing red PMIs already signalling a US recession in early 2023

Flashing red Purchasing Managers Indices (PMIs) are signalling a US recession in early 2023. China protesters took to the streets as local government restrictions conflicted with 20 new guidelines issued early in the month. The Peruvian president...
Kazakhstan flag
Weekly investor research

Tokayev elected president of Kazakhstan for another 7 years

A clear result in the Kazakh election contrasts with the hung parliament in Malaysia. The Indonesian Central Bank hiked its policy rate by 50bps to 5.25% - another move fostering macroeconomic stability. China economic data was soft and zero-covid took...