EM assets keep outperforming as US jobs data softens. Powell faces DOJ subpoena. Trump ordered Fannie/Freddie to buy $200bn MBS, pushing 30y yields down. Iran protests lifted oil; US shielded Venezuela funds; Argentina $3bn repo; Japan snap poll talk.
US operation in Venezuela seized Maduro; AI rally renewed. Hassett tipped as Trump’s next Fed chair. Russian crude exports hold up via Asia; Korea offers repatriation tax breaks to support won. Argentina passes Milei budget; Fitch: Ukraine up, Gabon down.
ECB held; BoE cut 25bp; BoJ hiked 25bp; Thailand/Chile/Mexico eased. US announced $11bn Taiwan arms & blocked Venezuelan oil; EU okayed €90bn Ukraine loan. Fitch/S&P upgrades; Colombia downgraded; Argentina unveiled new FX plan.
Emerging Market (EM) assets were subject to three strong headwinds in 2022, namely, China’s zero Covid-19 and real estate crisis, aggressive interest rate tightening from the US Federal Reserve (Fed), and the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Two out of...
Purchasing Managers’ Indices (PMIs) for Emerging Markets (EM) declined very slightly, contrasting with the deterioration on developed world PMIs. Europe agreed on capping the price of Russian oil. Large Chinese cities eased mobility restrictions.
During this webinar they discussed the drivers behind Frontier and Smaller Emerging Markets recent outperformance compared to developed and larger emerging markets and why they believe this will continue.
Flashing red Purchasing Managers Indices (PMIs) are signalling a US recession in early 2023. China protesters took to the streets as local government restrictions conflicted with 20 new guidelines issued early in the month. The Peruvian president...
A clear result in the Kazakh election contrasts with the hung parliament in Malaysia. The Indonesian Central Bank hiked its policy rate by 50bps to 5.25% - another move fostering macroeconomic stability. China economic data was soft and zero-covid took...
Stock markets posted a sharp relief rally last week after lower-than-expected inflation in the United States led to a sharp reversal of “bearish” positioning. Chinese assets outperformed again as China unveiled 20 measures setting up a framework for...
EM Purchasing Managers’ Index outperformed DM’s as China’s economic activity remained lukewarm due to the zero covid-19 policy. EM stocks outperformed led by China as hopes of a Chinese reopening increased. Brazilian assets outperformed the most as...
Gustavo Medeiros, Ashmore’s Head of Research, answers some timely questions about recent events and performance in Emerging Markets for our 'EM in 10' monthly video review.
Former President Luiz Inácio ‘Lula’ da Silva pulled a trick, winning the presidential election for third time with 50.9% of valid votes, despite losing the elections in four out of five regions. Developed world central banks are handling threats in the...
The Chinese politburo is now tightly controlled by Xi Jinping. Argentina fiscal and external numbers were better than expected. Incumbent Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro is rising in polls for the runoff next Sunday 30 October. Colombian Finance...
Gustavo Medeiros interviews Ashmore’s Head of All-Cap Equity Dhiren Shah exploring bottom-up opportunities presented by the current turbulent global macro environment across EM. Dhiren answers some of the most challenging questions faced by the asset...
The IMF has kept its global economic growth forecast for 2022 unchanged at 3.2% but highlighted better EM growth. Russia aims at Ukraine infrastructure. Brazil had the third consecutive month of deflation. China’s 20th Party Congress started Sunday as...
Russia on the backfoot as the plot thickens in Ukraine. The OPEC+ agreed to cut its production quota by 2m barrels of oil per day. The global manufacturing PMI is still on a declining trend, but several EM countries are bucking the trend and...
Russia annexed four Ukrainian provinces after a staged referendum, but the Ukrainian army re-takes important territories on the ground. Incumbent President Jair Bolsonaro performed better than expected in the presidential election in Brazil.
Russia's Vladimir Putin took an unpopular decision and mobilised 300k new conscripts to the army as Donbass holds a referendum on whether to become part of the Russian territory. Developed countries have been through a full-blown currency crisis which...
Gustavo Medeiros, Ashmore’s Head of Research, answers some timely questions about recent events and performance in Emerging Markets for our 'EM in 10' monthly video review.