Close-up river stream in forest.
By Gustavo Medeiros, Ben Underhill
The Emerging View

Flows to EM: The end of the beginning

As emerging market (EM) outperformance extends, investors are now frequently asking us about flows to EM assets. In this month’s Emerging View, we review data from Morningstar which confirms our answer: that net inflows have become a reality only since H2

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Weekly investor research

Weeks when decades happen

Reports say US/Israel struck Iran, killing Khamenei; oil +10% but markets calm. CNY travel record, spending middling; Koreans buy local stocks. Argentina labour reform passed; inflation beat in BR/MX/US; IMF reviews ok in Egypt.
Cityscape night view of Seoul, South Korea at sunset time.
Weekly investor research

Flows to EM assets pick up steam as Korean exports surge

EM inflows keep accelerating; Korean tech exports jump. US tariff uncertainty returns after IEEPA ruling; Fed minutes stay cautious with core PCE elevated. China to offer zero tariffs to 53 African countries from 1 May.
Artificial Intelligence chatbot assistant glowing on modern futuristic technology background.
Weekly investor research

AI driving EM stocks up and US stocks down

US data still suggests a “Goldilocks” backdrop as inflation cools; risk sentiment is shaky on AI fears but EM equities remain resilient. In EM, Brazil’s Lula has slipped to 45% approval and Mexico’s central bank held rates at 7.00% with a dovish tilt.

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Weekly investor research

Energy and food crisis looms as the Ukraine war broadens

The situation on the ground continues to escalate. The United States Secretary of State Antony Blinken said the US may backfill aircrafts to Poland as the latter sends theirs to Ukraine. Blinken also said the US is considering a full oil embargo on...
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Sanctions: intended and unintended consequences

The Russo-Ukrainian war is one of, and perhaps the most consequential conflicts since the end of World War 2. We examine the events on the ground, the announced sanctions and a first take on its potential impacts, both intended and unintended.
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Market Commentary

An update on Russia/Ukraine

Since early November 2021, the United States has reported unusual Russian troop movements near the Ukrainian border. In late November, Ukraine said Russia had close to 90k troops around its borders in advance of an offensive attack. Moscow denied and...
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Weekly investor research

Geopolitics dominate the news flow

Tensions between Russia and Ukraine increased, but a diplomatic solution is still possible. Iran nears a deal with the West for the removal of sanctions. China’s inflation was lower than expected as the RMB role for foreign transactions increased.
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Weekly investor research

The end of US stock market exceptionalism

Market price action signals the end of United States (US) stock market exceptionalism. Russia held cordial and constructive conversations with the US with the aim to de-escalate tensions on the Ukrainian border.