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By Gustavo Medeiros, Ben Underhill
The Emerging View

2026 Emerging Markets Outlook

Disinflation, not debasement points to 'goldilocks' in 2026

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Weekly investor research

Rising geopolitical risks, resilient EM equity performance

EM assets keep outperforming as US jobs data softens. Powell faces DOJ subpoena. Trump ordered Fannie/Freddie to buy $200bn MBS, pushing 30y yields down. Iran protests lifted oil; US shielded Venezuela funds; Argentina $3bn repo; Japan snap poll talk.
New 2026 year progress bar on digital lcd display.
Weekly investor research

Emerging Market assets start 2026 strong, Venezuela in focus

US operation in Venezuela seized Maduro; AI rally renewed. Hassett tipped as Trump’s next Fed chair. Russian crude exports hold up via Asia; Korea offers repatriation tax breaks to support won. Argentina passes Milei budget; Fitch: Ukraine up, Gabon down.
Metropolitan Cathedral Mexico City
Weekly investor research

EM central banks ease as DM diverges: ECB on hold, BoJ tightens

ECB held; BoE cut 25bp; BoJ hiked 25bp; Thailand/Chile/Mexico eased. US announced $11bn Taiwan arms & blocked Venezuelan oil; EU okayed €90bn Ukraine loan. Fitch/S&P upgrades; Colombia downgraded; Argentina unveiled new FX plan.

Latest Insights

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Market Commentary

EM 2021 real GDP growth revised higher

Sell-side economists revised real GDP growth higher in July across two-thirds of emerging markets (EM) and frontier markets (FM) countries, while lower revisions affected one-third of EM economies.
Weekly investor research
Weekly investor research

Inflation peaking in EM

Inflation surprised to the downside across most large EM economies in June.
Automobile production line
Weekly investor research

Temporary dip in EM PMIs amid rapid vaccine rollout

Emerging Market (EM) manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) declined 0.7 to 51.3 in June. The Chinese monetary policy committee signalled monetary policy should remain accommodative.
Ashmore video
Video

Ashmore EM Review and Outlook - June 2021

Gustavo Medeiros (Deputy Head of Research), Alexis De Mones (Portfolio Manager) and Adrian Petreanu (Portfolio Manager) review the markets and discuss the outlook for EM.
Weekly investor research
Weekly investor research

The OECD revises EM GDP growth forecasts higher

The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) revised its estimate of global gross domestic product (GDP) growth higher following recent stronger than expected economic data.
Ashmore video
Video

'EM in 10' update

We discuss the outperformance of EM assets in May, driven by a faster vaccination pace across EM countries. We discuss inflation & explain why it is likely to remain elevated in the US throughout the rest of the year, & why it won't be a big deal for EM.