Aerial drone view of beautiful caribbean tropical island Cayo Levantado beach with palms and boat. Bacardi Island, Dominican Republic.
By Ben Underhill
The Emerging View

The case for frontier debt

It’s a catchy axiom that “frontier markets are what emerging markets used to be,” and there’s some truth to it. As emerging markets (EMs) grow and become more interconnected with the global economy, they are increasingly more efficient and correlated...

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One executive runs up a red rising arrow while another falls along a blue declining arrow, symbolising market winners and losers over a city skyline.
Market Commentary

EM assets during easing cycles

After nine months of unchanged policy rates, the US Federal Reserve (Fed) cut by 25bps this September. Most market participants expect multiple rate reductions over the coming months. To put the Fed’s decision into context, we looked back at the impact...
Businessman cutting percentage sign with sword.
Weekly investor research

A new easing cycle bodes well for EM assets

Fed cut rates 25bps, more easing likely; Trump and Xi may meet in Oct; UK, Canada & Australia recognised Palestine; Sri Lanka credit upgraded; Argentina intervened to support peso; Brazil held Selic; Nigeria inflation fell to 20.1%.

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World globe map
The Emerging View

The case for EM in a multipolar world

The Russian invasion of Ukraine is a shock to the existing world order. From an economic perspective, the initial impact of the war is rising inflation given the importance of Russia and Ukraine in the supply of commodities to the world. The economic...
Empty shelves
Weekly investor research

Energy and food crisis looms as the Ukraine war broadens

The situation on the ground continues to escalate. The United States Secretary of State Antony Blinken said the US may backfill aircrafts to Poland as the latter sends theirs to Ukraine. Blinken also said the US is considering a full oil embargo on...
Sanctions over russia
Weekly investor research

Sanctions: intended and unintended consequences

The Russo-Ukrainian war is one of, and perhaps the most consequential conflicts since the end of World War 2. We examine the events on the ground, the announced sanctions and a first take on its potential impacts, both intended and unintended.
Flag of Russia and Ukraine
Market Commentary

An update on Russia/Ukraine

Since early November 2021, the United States has reported unusual Russian troop movements near the Ukrainian border. In late November, Ukraine said Russia had close to 90k troops around its borders in advance of an offensive attack. Moscow denied and...
Cracked brick wall painted with a Ukrainian flag on the left and a Russian flag on the right.
Weekly investor research

Geopolitics dominate the news flow

Tensions between Russia and Ukraine increased, but a diplomatic solution is still possible. Iran nears a deal with the West for the removal of sanctions. China’s inflation was lower than expected as the RMB role for foreign transactions increased.