Aerial drone view of beautiful caribbean tropical island Cayo Levantado beach with palms and boat. Bacardi Island, Dominican Republic.
By Ben Underhill
The Emerging View

The case for frontier debt

It’s a catchy axiom that “frontier markets are what emerging markets used to be,” and there’s some truth to it. As emerging markets (EMs) grow and become more interconnected with the global economy, they are increasingly more efficient and correlated...

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One executive runs up a red rising arrow while another falls along a blue declining arrow, symbolising market winners and losers over a city skyline.
Market Commentary

EM assets during easing cycles

After nine months of unchanged policy rates, the US Federal Reserve (Fed) cut by 25bps this September. Most market participants expect multiple rate reductions over the coming months. To put the Fed’s decision into context, we looked back at the impact...
Businessman cutting percentage sign with sword.
Weekly investor research

A new easing cycle bodes well for EM assets

Fed cut rates 25bps, more easing likely; Trump and Xi may meet in Oct; UK, Canada & Australia recognised Palestine; Sri Lanka credit upgraded; Argentina intervened to support peso; Brazil held Selic; Nigeria inflation fell to 20.1%.

Latest Insights

Ashmore video
Video

'EM in 10' update - June 2022

Gustavo Medeiros, Ashmore’s Head of Research, answers some timely questions about recent events and performance in Emerging Markets for our 'EM in 10' monthly video review.
Shanghai Skyline
Weekly investor research

Better market sentiment after good news from China

Equities and fixed income recovered from oversold levels. Russia takes further territory in Donbas as a peace deal remains elusive. Argentina allowed energy companies increasing production to access foreign currency. Brazil inflation was higher than...
Ashmore video
Video

Frontier markets, why and why now

Andy Brudenell, Ashmore’s Lead Portfolio Manager for Frontier Market strategies answers questions about why Frontier Markets, and why now for your asset allocation.
US Dollar bundles
Weekly investor research

US stocks down, EM stocks up

US stocks and the US dollar underperformed last week as economic activity slows in the US while EM stocks rebounded. China cut lending rates by 20bps. The Ukraine conflict remained at a stalemate as Russia downplayed the importance of Sweden and...
China markets with flag
Weekly investor research

China’s data weak, but leading indicators more encouraging

Finland and Sweden said they would like to join NATO. China’s economic data was much weaker than expected in April, but higher frequency data improved in May. Brazil’s Petrobras hiked diesel prices despite political pressures. Most Chileans said they...
Victory Day
Weekly investor research

No breakthrough on victory day

There was no breakthrough from Russia during victory day and no significant sanctions on Russia following the G7 meeting. Brazil hiked policy rate by 100bps to 12.75%, Czech and Poland hiked 75bps to 5.75% and 5.25% respectively while India hiked 40bps...
Ashmore video
Video

'EM in 10' update - May 2022

Gustavo Medeiros, Ashmore’s Head of Research, answers some timely questions about recent events and performance in Emerging Markets for our EM in 10 monthly video review.
gas-pipeline-with-flags-of-Russia-and-EU
Weekly investor research

Russia threatens to cut gas supplies to Europe

Russia announced it halted gas supplies to Poland and Bulgaria and said it repaid the Eurobonds before the end of the grace period. Brazilian consumer price inflation rose less than expected. The Chinese politburo sent a strong message of support for...
Bull trap
The Emerging View

The USD bull trap and EM USD debt

Emerging market assets underperformed over the first four months of the year as market participants priced in a much more hawkish hiking cycle by the Fed. At the same time, higher interest rates differentials buoyed the greenback lead the US Dollar...
Shanghai Stock market price display
Weekly investor research

Better than expected Chinese data, but peace talks stalled in Ukraine

Chinese economic activity was better than expected, but underlying sector data suggests weaker dynamics than meets the eye. Sri Lanka announced the suspension of debt service. Indian inflation surprised to the upside. Indonesian trade surplus rose...
Financial data under the magnifying glass
Market Commentary

Russia & Belarus index exclusion post-mortem

This piece reviews the background and impact of the exclusion of Russia and Belarus from the main Emerging Markets (EM) indices as well as the current market conditions and outlook for Russian and Ukrainian bonds.
Metal laser cutting tool
Weekly investor research

Global Manufacturing PMIs play into the stagflation narrative

Global Markit Manufacturing PMI indicators softened, as China underperformed due to targeted lockdowns in Shanghai, notably. The increase in ISM prices paid and the depressed level of supplier delivery times in the US Markit PMI provide further...