Aerial drone view of beautiful caribbean tropical island Cayo Levantado beach with palms and boat. Bacardi Island, Dominican Republic.
By Ben Underhill
The Emerging View

The case for frontier debt

It’s a catchy axiom that “frontier markets are what emerging markets used to be,” and there’s some truth to it. As emerging markets (EMs) grow and become more interconnected with the global economy, they are increasingly more efficient and correlated...

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Federal Reserve - Central Banking
Weekly investor research

Weak US payrolls all but assure a September rate cut

Weak US payrolls point to a Sept Fed cut; US10Y ~4%. Senate set to confirm Stephen Miran as temporary Fed chair. French PM Bayrou likely ousted; Japan’s Ishiba resigns. OPEC+ to add 137k b/d in Oct. Poland cuts 25bp. Argentina midterms setback for Milei.
Images of the NANAY River and its large floodable forests that are home to a diversity of fauna and flora. It is a popular place for tourists to get away from the city and delve into nature deep in the Amazon rainforest of Peru.
Weekly investor research

Brazil’s inflation in decline

US data steady; focus shifts to jobs. Appeals court nixes “reciprocal tariffs” (SCOTUS pending). Ukraine ramps refinery strikes. Indonesia protests. Thailand PM dismissed. Brazil Aug deflation; Türkiye Q2 +4.8% growth; Egypt cuts rates 200bps.
The beautiful, colorful city of Oaxaca
Weekly investor research

More US policy drama, more EM outperformance

EM outperformance in Aug; US reflation vs EU deflation. Trump to fire Fed Gov Lisa Cook. FR PM Bayrou faces 8 Sep no-confidence. G7 little result. Bond funds +$97bn/4w. Argentina assets fall on scandal. Moody’s reviews PEMEX for upgrade after $12bn plan.

Latest Insights

USA and China flag on coins and stock market chart.
Weekly investor research

EM stocks outperforming global stocks year-to-date

EM stocks outperformed on the back of a weaker US Dollar, reflecting the soft price action in US stocks and in spite of higher US Treasury yields. China’s real GDP growth rose +8.1% in 2021 despite mixed activity in December.
2022 Outlook
The Emerging View

Equity Outlook 2022: Emerging Markets

Emerging Markets (EM) have demonstrated their resilience during the greatest economic shock since the Global Financial Crisis. This was contrary to market expectations.
2022 Outlook
The Emerging View

Four mega-trends shaping the 2022 outlook and beyond

The global macro environment is ripe for EM assets outperformance as a combination of stronger growth in China, the end of exceptionalism in the US and less uncertainty on US interest rates, lead to a strong backdrop for EM assets.
La Moneda Palace in Santiago, Chile
Weekly investor research

Gabriel Boric elected President in Chile

China and Turkey eased policy rates, the first minimally, the latter repeating policy mistakes, while Chile, Colombia, Mexico, Hungary and Pakistan hiked policy rates. The centre-left candidate Gabriel Boric was elected as President in Chile.
Ashmore video
Video

Webinar: EM Equity intro and Update

Head of All Cap Equity, Dhiren Shah, and portfolio manager, Edward Evans describe the All Cap Equity platform at Ashmore and explain the drivers of historical performance along with positioning outlook for the EM Equity Strategy.
Jinqiao community of Pudong Shanghai China
Market Commentary

A consolidation path for Chinese property

Chinese property markets are going through a significant slowdown that began in Q2 2021. The average slowdown in the previous episodes over the last 20 years lasted four quarters.
Argentina flag
Weekly investor research

Argentina gets closer to the IMF as China eases monetary policy

Most EM countries remained in a moderate expansion according to the PMI survey by Markit. Argentina and the IMF nodded to each other. The Brazilian Senate approved a constitutional amendment clearing the path for the 2022 budget.
JD.com headquarters logo sign
Weekly investor research

Differentiation is the name of the game

The results of the leading e-commerce Chinese companies highlight the importance of active management in EM equities. Argentina and the IMF sent positive signals towards a new agreement.
Ashmore video
Video

'EM in 10' update - October 2021

Today we will be talking about the post-pandemic macro-economic environment. In particular, the outlook for global inflation and how Central banks should react to it.