Aerial drone view of beautiful caribbean tropical island Cayo Levantado beach with palms and boat. Bacardi Island, Dominican Republic.
By Ben Underhill
The Emerging View

The case for frontier debt

It’s a catchy axiom that “frontier markets are what emerging markets used to be,” and there’s some truth to it. As emerging markets (EMs) grow and become more interconnected with the global economy, they are increasingly more efficient and correlated...

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The latest insights from our categories

Federal Reserve - Central Banking
Weekly investor research

Weak US payrolls all but assure a September rate cut

Weak US payrolls point to a Sept Fed cut; US10Y ~4%. Senate set to confirm Stephen Miran as temporary Fed chair. French PM Bayrou likely ousted; Japan’s Ishiba resigns. OPEC+ to add 137k b/d in Oct. Poland cuts 25bp. Argentina midterms setback for Milei.
Images of the NANAY River and its large floodable forests that are home to a diversity of fauna and flora. It is a popular place for tourists to get away from the city and delve into nature deep in the Amazon rainforest of Peru.
Weekly investor research

Brazil’s inflation in decline

US data steady; focus shifts to jobs. Appeals court nixes “reciprocal tariffs” (SCOTUS pending). Ukraine ramps refinery strikes. Indonesia protests. Thailand PM dismissed. Brazil Aug deflation; Türkiye Q2 +4.8% growth; Egypt cuts rates 200bps.
The beautiful, colorful city of Oaxaca
Weekly investor research

More US policy drama, more EM outperformance

EM outperformance in Aug; US reflation vs EU deflation. Trump to fire Fed Gov Lisa Cook. FR PM Bayrou faces 8 Sep no-confidence. G7 little result. Bond funds +$97bn/4w. Argentina assets fall on scandal. Moody’s reviews PEMEX for upgrade after $12bn plan.

Latest Insights

Ashmore video
Video

'EM in 10' update - August 2022

Gustavo Medeiros, Ashmore’s Head of Research, answers some timely questions about recent events and performance in Emerging Markets for our 'EM in 10' monthly video review.
ESG
The Emerging View

The reality of ESG integration in Emerging Markets equity

Successful investing in Emerging Markets is inextricably linked to a deep understanding of Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) factors. Developing countries are likely to face a disproportionate impact from some of the sustainability challenges...
Recession next exit
Weekly investor research

Mixed news flow across EM as DM PMIs flashed recession

The flash PMIs declined more than expected in Europe and the United States, with most forward-looking indicators below 50.0 levels. Russia agreed a deal to safeguard exports of grain from Ukraine and restarted gas flows from Nord Stream 1 pipeline but...
Grain cargo ship
Weekly investor research

The war of attrition grinds on in Ukraine

The war of attrition grinds on in Ukraine as Europe tries to normalise gas flows and open ports for grains. China’s challenges were compounded by boycotts on mortgages for unfinished projects. Argentina’s finance minister announced its new economic plans.
Ashmore video
Video

'EM in 10' update - July 2022

Gustavo Medeiros, Ashmore’s Head of Research, answers some timely questions about recent events and performance in Emerging Markets for our 'EM in 10' monthly video review.
Ashmore video
Video

Emerging Market Debt | Masterclass

It has been a tough start to 2022 for emerging market debt, but what could the future have in store for the months and years ahead? Ashmore’s Head of Research, Gustavo Medeiros, took part in the Asset TV Masterclass.
Recession warning
Weekly investor research

Recession signals in DM, whilst EM activity recovers

Manufacturing PMIs improved in Hungary, Colombia, Mexico and China and remained at solid levels across most countries, standing in contrast with the US and Europe where manufacturing PMIs have declined fast. Russia gains further territory in Ukraine.
Mountain hike
Weekly investor research

Hike while you can: Flash PMIs in Europe and US declined fast

The risk of an energy crisis in Europe increased further as the G7 discussed a price cap on imports of oil from Russia and economic activity surprised to the downside in both Europe and the United States, led by very poor flash PMI surveys. Chinese...
Gas pipes
Weekly investor research

Sadly, a more hawkish Fed can’t stop the war in Ukraine

The situation on the ground in Ukraine continues to suggest a protracted war of attrition for longer as gas flows to Europe get disrupted. Gustavo Petro won the presidential race in Colombia but will have to govern with a minority in parliament. Covid...
Rising food costs
Weekly investor research

Higher inflation and rates almost everywhere

Inflation surprised to the upside in the United States (US) and Europe but remains subdued across Asia and seems to have peaked in South America. Central banks will soon realise that the current level of interest rates and tightening of financial...
Ashmore video
Video

'EM in 10' update - June 2022

Gustavo Medeiros, Ashmore’s Head of Research, answers some timely questions about recent events and performance in Emerging Markets for our 'EM in 10' monthly video review.
Shanghai Skyline
Weekly investor research

Better market sentiment after good news from China

Equities and fixed income recovered from oversold levels. Russia takes further territory in Donbas as a peace deal remains elusive. Argentina allowed energy companies increasing production to access foreign currency. Brazil inflation was higher than...
Ashmore video
Video

Frontier markets, why and why now

Andy Brudenell, Ashmore’s Lead Portfolio Manager for Frontier Market strategies answers questions about why Frontier Markets, and why now for your asset allocation.