By Gustavo Medeiros, Ben Underhill
The Emerging View

Emerging market resilience tested by energy shock and Fed hikes

The Fed is tightening into an energy shock, a combination that has triggered EM crises before. This time the reaction has been muted. We explain why, and the four questions that will shape the outlook from here.

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Brazil’s swing to the right boosts EM prospects

Flávio Bolsonaro’s first-round lead makes a political transition likely, and his team’s fiscal plan could open a path back to investment grade. We also look at France, where 10-year yields hit their highest since the GFC.

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Video

Ashmore EM Review and Outlook - June 2021

Gustavo Medeiros (Deputy Head of Research), Alexis De Mones (Portfolio Manager) and Adrian Petreanu (Portfolio Manager) review the markets and discuss the outlook for EM.
Weekly investor research

The OECD revises EM GDP growth forecasts higher

The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) revised its estimate of global gross domestic product (GDP) growth higher following recent stronger than expected economic data.
Video

'EM in 10' update

We discuss the outperformance of EM assets in May, driven by a faster vaccination pace across EM countries. We discuss inflation & explain why it is likely to remain elevated in the US throughout the rest of the year, & why it won't be a big deal for EM.
Video

'EM in 10' update

Gustavo Medeiros, Deputy Head of Research, discusses various Emerging Markets themes. This week, we will go through the performance of EM asset prices year-to-date, discuss the latest manufacturing PMI surveys and finally discuss recent events in China.
The Emerging View

Seven policy proposals to meet the Paris Agreement objectives

The 2015 Paris Agreement introduced the legally binding goal of maintaining the average global temperature below the pre-industrial revolution average plus 2⁰ Celsius in order to avoid severe stress on natural and socioeconomic systems.
Weekly investor research

Chinese bonds as safe havens

Chinese Fixed Income was one of the few safe haven markets amidst the turbulent interest rate environment in Q1 2021.
The Emerging View

A short note on Peruvian politics

Peru is characterised by a pronounced and somewhat unusual dichotomy between deeply dysfunctional politics and generally strong economic performance.
Weekly investor research

Ships blocked, chips scarce

A large containership blocked the Suez Canal last week, disrupting global trade.