By Gustavo Medeiros, Ben Underhill
The Emerging View

The case for emerging market small cap equities

EM small caps are assumed to be the risky cousin of US small caps. The data says otherwise: nearly nine in ten are profitable, on half the forward multiple of the Russell 2000. We make the case for the asset class.

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Weekly investor research

Bonds under pressure as Hormuz conflict flares up

Global bond yields remain under pressure as Strait of Hormuz tensions flare. The 10-year JGB tops 3% for the first time since 1996, S&P affirms India's 'BBB' rating and the Bank of Korea hikes to 3.0%.
Weekly investor research

The interventionist maths: higher JPY + lower UST = weaker USD

Bessent flags more long-end UST intervention; Iran's tone turns pragmatic. Ratings skew positive: Pakistan to B3, Kazakhstan to BBB, Poland A- negative. Egypt holds at 19%; South Africa CPI eases to 4.3%; Vietnam and Colombia flag reform needs.

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Video

'EM in 10' update

Gustavo Medeiros, Deputy Head of Research, discusses various Emerging Markets themes. This week, we will go through the performance of EM asset prices year-to-date, discuss the latest manufacturing PMI surveys and finally discuss recent events in China.
The Emerging View

Seven policy proposals to meet the Paris Agreement objectives

The 2015 Paris Agreement introduced the legally binding goal of maintaining the average global temperature below the pre-industrial revolution average plus 2⁰ Celsius in order to avoid severe stress on natural and socioeconomic systems.
Weekly investor research

Chinese bonds as safe havens

Chinese Fixed Income was one of the few safe haven markets amidst the turbulent interest rate environment in Q1 2021.
The Emerging View

A short note on Peruvian politics

Peru is characterised by a pronounced and somewhat unusual dichotomy between deeply dysfunctional politics and generally strong economic performance.
Weekly investor research

Ships blocked, chips scarce

A large containership blocked the Suez Canal last week, disrupting global trade.
Weekly investor research

Transitions

Transitions are noisy, but interesting from an investment perspective.
Market Commentary

Missing the big picture on IMF lending

In a recent opinion piece in the Financial Times, Ousmene Mandeng makes the point that the lending programmes of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) are defective.