Strait of Hormuz
By Gustavo Medeiros, Ben Underhill
The Emerging View

The Strait of Hormuz & the Vix shock

Emerging View examines the Strait of Hormuz tail-risk, rising energy prices and supply strains, comparing today’s backdrop with past oil shocks and assessing what the Iran-US conflict could mean for emerging market assets.

Subscribe to our insights

Subscribe and get notified as soon as we publish our content

The latest insights from our categories

Satellite view of the Strait of Hormuz with white graphic lines representing global shipping lanes and maritime traffic between the Persian Gulf and Gulf of Oman.
Weekly investor research

Market relief as Trump signals progress in Iran negotiations

Trump gave Iran a short Hormuz ultimatum before a brief extension, as Iran hit Qatar’s Ras Laffan. Major central banks held rates with hawkish bias on energy risks, while EM policy diverged amid fuel, trade and election strains.
View across the Strait of Hormuz toward rugged mountains of the Musandam Peninsula in Oman. Small boats rest on the calm water beneath the arid landscape of the northern Arabian Peninsula.
Weekly investor research

Strait of Hormuz disruption enters third week

Oil shock eased as Brent fell back below USD 100, but Hormuz disruption still hit supply and reserves. Brazil retail surprised positively, while Egypt saw record outflows and political strains deepened in Mexico and Brazil.

Latest Insights

Weekly investor research
Weekly investor research

Twists and turns in US-China tensions

In the latest in US-China tensions, a US court blocked the proposed closure of WeChat, while Bytedance kept a majority shareholding position and control over its algorithm in TikTok.
Weekly investor research
Weekly investor research

EM assets outperformed despite strong correction in US tech

Equity markets declined on the back of a sharp correction in US technology stocks, but EM assets outperformed. Brazil renewed emergency support for poor families and presented an administrative reform to Congress.
Weekly investor research
Weekly investor research

The Fed turns to inflation

The Fed’s adoption of an average inflation target is important for EM investors; we explain why.
Weekly investor research
Weekly investor research

The Classic EM risk roll-down

The classic EM risk roll-down is now on full display with Chinese stocks outperforming on the back of stronger than expected economic data.