Yen surged on US Treasury activity amid benign US inflation. India-EU trade and Colombia/Chile fiscal reforms highlight EM shifts. Global diplomacy saw US-Ukraine-Russia talks, while Fitch boosted Türkiye and Gabon resumed IMF engagement.
Watch the replay of this insightful webinar where we discussed the outlook and opportunities for emerging markets hard currency sovereign debt in 2026.
Trump threatens 10% tariffs on goods from 8 European nations from 1 Feb, rising to 25% by 1 Jun unless Greenland sale talks advance. China posts record surplus; FX flows hint USD weakening. US CPI softer; Argentina/Brazil updates; UAE assets up 23%.
Europe & Japan face 15% US tariffs despite 'deals'. China may delay 12 Aug deadline by 90 days. India, S. Korea, Thailand talks ongoing. IMF backs Argentina. Brazil FDI weak. Mexico aids Pemex. Poland reshuffles. Türkiye upgraded. Nigeria, Zambia progress
CN supply boost stocks; Trump-Powell rumor fades. Strong US EPS. ID 19 % US tariff; TH zero tariff 90 % US goods; Moodys upgrades AR to Caa1; CO holds, peso top LatAm; UA confirms Svyrydenko PM; EG expands VAT; Fitch eyes ZM upgrade if 90% creditors agree
Yields rise on inflation and fiscal concerns, while US equities shrug off tariff risks. China tackles excess capacity. Malaysia cuts rates; Vietnam beats Q2 growth forecasts. US hits Brazil with tariffs. Romania tightens fiscally. AZ & Oman upgraded.
US passes ‘One Big Beautiful Bill’. Israel-Hamas talks begin Doha. AI chip curbs eyed for Thailand/Malaysia. India data strong. Trump touts Vietnam deal. Argentina downplays peso. Chile left gains. IMF merges Egypt reviews Sept. Dubai unveils home scheme.
A discussion on the fast-evolving EM frontier debt landscape and how it offers potential opportunities for investors seeking diversification and risk-adjusted returns.
LatAm was EM's worst performer in 2024, but is rebounding sharply in 2025. Colombia leads YTD gains at 49%, followed by Mexico, Chile, Brazil, and Peru. With elections ahead and market-friendly shifts likely, investors see a cyclical opportunity.
EM assets outperformed on weaker USD. Equities shrugged off global risks. China data mixed; Malaysia CPI soft. Colombia downgraded; Mexico revised GDP up. Brazil fiscal woes linger. Chile polarised. E. Europe defence spend challenge. MENA mostly positive.
US bombed Iranian nuclear sites; low oil disruption risk priced. US data weakens; Fed sees 2 cuts in 2025. China to scrap most Africa tariffs. Thai coalition splits. Brazil hikes to 15%. Colombia ups 2025 borrowing. Ghana gets Fitch upgrade.
Israel attacked Iran’s nuclear sites, lifting oil prices but not the dollar. US eyes easing China trade curbs for rare earths. EM debt saw $3.8bn inflows. Strong data from China, Korea. Loans for South Africa, Ecuador. Mexico signals 50bps cut.
EM assets rose as investors rebalanced away from the US on trade hopes and soft data. Oil climbed on macro optimism. India cut rates 50bps. Vietnam growth seen at 6%. Brazil eyes deficit fixes. Colombia hit by political violence. Poland risk lingers.
US court ruled Trump’s tariffs illegal but they remain pending appeal. Tensions rose as US backed Asian allies. OPEC+ to raise output in July. China’s phone exports fell 21% YoY. Argentina issued 2030 bonds. Mexico’s vote saw 13% turnout.
US exceptionalism, built on unsustainable fiscal policies, is under threat. Tariffs and budget dysfunction in Washington are driving high volatility in US equities, revealing the fragility behind past market strength.
EM assets outperformed YTD across equities, local debt, HY & IG bonds. US equity vols remain low despite rising risks. Indonesia outlined 2026 framework. Argentina eases controls. Brazil scraps tax, saves BRL31bn. Strong tourism in Türkiye.
EM assets regain momentum after US credit downgrade. US budget bill advances. China data soft. India inflation slows. Milei wins Buenos Aires. Political boosts in Ecuador, Romania; challenges in Colombia. Polish election tighter than expected.
After President Milei’s rapid fiscal rebalancing, a fresh USD15bn disbursement from the IMF put Argentina in a position to slash its capital controls. Under the new FX regime, the peso - the world’s best performing currency last year - is holding firm.
US cut China tariffs to 30% for 90 days, sparking risk-on sentiment and Dollar rebound. Fed held rates steady. China eased policy further. India-Pakistan ceasefire. IMF lent $1.4bn to Pakistan. Peru cut rates. Ghana upgraded.
US Q1 earnings strong; Q2 outlook weaker. US stagflation fears persist. Taiwan dollar rallies sharply. Oil falls on Saudi supply hike. Korean leader resigns for election. Colombia cuts rates; Brazil eyes tax reform. Simion leads Romania vote...