Balanced scales: Left scale - Oversized USD/US equities. Right scale - Basket with gold bar, commodity, world currencies, EM skyline, bond coupon.
By Gustavo Medeiros, Ben Underhill
The Emerging View

Diversified asset allocation and US fiscal dominance

Volatile post-pandemic macro and US fiscal dominance risks, amid a historic H1-2025 Dollar selloff, are exposing the limits of passive, US-heavy indices. Investors should diversify toward markets less constrained by debt-shadowed central banks.

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Shanghai city aerial photograph
Weekly investor research

Chinese economic data weakens, but stocks rally

US CPI shows muted tariff pass-through; goods inflation up to 1.3% YoY. China data missed but stocks rallied. Trump met Putin. IEA sees 2026 oil glut. S&P lifts India to BBB; Moody’s upgrades Pakistan. Brazil CPI 5.2% YoY; easing in sight.

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The well-meaning misguided G20 proposal

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The case for a global macro-prudential policy

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The merits of Ecuador’s approach

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Weekly investor research
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The final shock

Lebanon announced a moratorium on its sovereign debt.
Weekly investor research
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Ecuadorian bonds experienced considerable price volatility due to inaccurate journalism.