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By Gustavo Medeiros, Ben Underhill
The Emerging View

2026 Emerging Markets Outlook

Disinflation, not debasement points to 'goldilocks' in 2026

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Local currencies from around the world
Weekly investor research

EM local currency bonds lead November performance tables

EM local bonds stayed strong despite choppy markets, as UK/German policy stayed on a consolidation/investment path. India and South Korea surprised with strong growth, while EM sovereigns like Zambia and Qatar saw rating support.

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Weekly investor research

Rising policy uncertainty. Georgieva should stay, Powell may go

A number of senior politicians had their financial affairs exposed by the release of the Pandora Papers, while the managing director of the IMF, Kristalina Georgieva, is under pressure after a report unveiled minor irregularities.
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Weekly investor research

EM manufacturing PMI increased, DM declined

Emerging Markets (EM) Manufacturing PMI converged towards Developed Markets (DM). Brazilian exporters are hoarding US Dollars abroad due to political uncertainty. Chile’s Lower House approved another redemption from the pension system.
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Weekly investor research

Global PMIs shows supply chain bottlenecks persist

Global PMIs declined, dragged down by Covid-19 delta variant concerns as supply chain bottlenecks kept price pressures. The Brazilian Congress approved a tax reform as the government aims for a steep fiscal consolidation.
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Market Commentary

EM 2021 real GDP growth revised higher

Sell-side economists revised real GDP growth higher in July across two-thirds of emerging markets (EM) and frontier markets (FM) countries, while lower revisions affected one-third of EM economies.