EM local bonds stayed strong despite choppy markets, as UK/German policy stayed on a consolidation/investment path. India and South Korea surprised with strong growth, while EM sovereigns like Zambia and Qatar saw rating support.
Russia and Ukraine may negotiate a new cease-fire agreement today as both sides appear to be getting closer to a consensus. Russia increased its fiscal deficits to shore up the economy after sanctions from the West. Ukraine received further financial...
The situation on the ground continues to escalate. The United States Secretary of State Antony Blinken said the US may backfill aircrafts to Poland as the latter sends theirs to Ukraine. Blinken also said the US is considering a full oil embargo on...
The Russo-Ukrainian war is one of, and perhaps the most consequential conflicts since the end of World War 2. We examine the events on the ground, the announced sanctions and a first take on its potential impacts, both intended and unintended.
Since early November 2021, the United States has reported unusual Russian troop movements near the Ukrainian border. In late November, Ukraine said Russia had close to 90k troops around its borders in advance of an offensive attack. Moscow denied and...
Tensions between Russia and Ukraine increased, but a diplomatic solution is still possible. Iran nears a deal with the West for the removal of sanctions. China’s inflation was lower than expected as the RMB role for foreign transactions increased.
US inflation rises higher and the policy response may come faster. Pressure regarding Ukraine increases, and oil prices continue to a boil. Local bonds out-perform dollar bonds for more reasons than one.
The Bank of England (BOE) and the European Central Bank (ECB) decisions were in line with consensus, but the tone was significantly more hawkish than consensus.
High frequency data in Emerging Markets (EM) surprised to the upside, leading to a strong increase in the Citibank Surprise Index. Argentina reached a preliminary agreement with the IMF.