Dark stylish compass with needle pointing to the year number 2026
By Gustavo Medeiros, Ben Underhill
The Emerging View

2026 Emerging Markets Outlook

Disinflation, not debasement points to 'goldilocks' in 2026

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EM local currency bonds lead November performance tables

EM local bonds stayed strong despite choppy markets, as UK/German policy stayed on a consolidation/investment path. India and South Korea surprised with strong growth, while EM sovereigns like Zambia and Qatar saw rating support.

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Busy summer for policy-makers

The momentary easing in financial conditions seen in July is now behind us. Global economic challenges continue to demand a decisive response and policy-makers everywhere must make difficult choices. Europe is under pressure from high gas prices, while...
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Successful investing in Emerging Markets is inextricably linked to a deep understanding of Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) factors. Developing countries are likely to face a disproportionate impact from some of the sustainability challenges...
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'EM in 10' update - August 2022

Gustavo Medeiros, Ashmore’s Head of Research, answers some timely questions about recent events and performance in Emerging Markets for our 'EM in 10' monthly video review.
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Mixed news flow across EM as DM PMIs flashed recession

The flash PMIs declined more than expected in Europe and the United States, with most forward-looking indicators below 50.0 levels. Russia agreed a deal to safeguard exports of grain from Ukraine and restarted gas flows from Nord Stream 1 pipeline but...
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The war of attrition grinds on in Ukraine

The war of attrition grinds on in Ukraine as Europe tries to normalise gas flows and open ports for grains. China’s challenges were compounded by boycotts on mortgages for unfinished projects. Argentina’s finance minister announced its new economic plans.
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'EM in 10' update - July 2022

Gustavo Medeiros, Ashmore’s Head of Research, answers some timely questions about recent events and performance in Emerging Markets for our 'EM in 10' monthly video review.
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Emerging Market Debt | Masterclass

It has been a tough start to 2022 for emerging market debt, but what could the future have in store for the months and years ahead? Ashmore’s Head of Research, Gustavo Medeiros, took part in the Asset TV Masterclass.
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Recession signals in DM, whilst EM activity recovers

Manufacturing PMIs improved in Hungary, Colombia, Mexico and China and remained at solid levels across most countries, standing in contrast with the US and Europe where manufacturing PMIs have declined fast. Russia gains further territory in Ukraine.
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Hike while you can: Flash PMIs in Europe and US declined fast

The risk of an energy crisis in Europe increased further as the G7 discussed a price cap on imports of oil from Russia and economic activity surprised to the downside in both Europe and the United States, led by very poor flash PMI surveys. Chinese...
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Sadly, a more hawkish Fed can’t stop the war in Ukraine

The situation on the ground in Ukraine continues to suggest a protracted war of attrition for longer as gas flows to Europe get disrupted. Gustavo Petro won the presidential race in Colombia but will have to govern with a minority in parliament. Covid...
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Higher inflation and rates almost everywhere

Inflation surprised to the upside in the United States (US) and Europe but remains subdued across Asia and seems to have peaked in South America. Central banks will soon realise that the current level of interest rates and tightening of financial...
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'EM in 10' update - June 2022

Gustavo Medeiros, Ashmore’s Head of Research, answers some timely questions about recent events and performance in Emerging Markets for our 'EM in 10' monthly video review.
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Better market sentiment after good news from China

Equities and fixed income recovered from oversold levels. Russia takes further territory in Donbas as a peace deal remains elusive. Argentina allowed energy companies increasing production to access foreign currency. Brazil inflation was higher than...