By Gustavo Medeiros, Ben Underhill, Simon Cooke
The Emerging View

Generating impact and returns through EM public debt markets

Global sustainability funding needs are overwhelmingly concentrated in emerging markets, yet impact capital still skews to developed markets. The September Emerging View sets out why EM public debt is the most scalable way to close the gap.

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The Emerging View

Generating impact and returns through EM public debt markets

Global sustainability funding needs are overwhelmingly concentrated in emerging markets, yet impact capital still skews to developed markets. The September Emerging View sets out why EM public debt is the most scalable way to close the gap.
Weekly investor research

Bonds under pressure as Hormuz conflict flares up

Global bond yields remain under pressure as Strait of Hormuz tensions flare. The 10-year JGB tops 3% for the first time since 1996, S&P affirms India's 'BBB' rating and the Bank of Korea hikes to 3.0%.
Weekly investor research

The interventionist maths: higher JPY + lower UST = weaker USD

Bessent flags more long-end UST intervention; Iran's tone turns pragmatic. Ratings skew positive: Pakistan to B3, Kazakhstan to BBB, Poland A- negative. Egypt holds at 19%; South Africa CPI eases to 4.3%; Vietnam and Colombia flag reform needs.

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Weekly investor research

EM stocks outperforming global stocks year-to-date

EM stocks outperformed on the back of a weaker US Dollar, reflecting the soft price action in US stocks and in spite of higher US Treasury yields. China’s real GDP growth rose +8.1% in 2021 despite mixed activity in December.
The Emerging View

Equity Outlook 2022: Emerging Markets

Emerging Markets (EM) have demonstrated their resilience during the greatest economic shock since the Global Financial Crisis. This was contrary to market expectations.
The Emerging View

Four mega-trends shaping the 2022 outlook and beyond

The global macro environment is ripe for EM assets outperformance as a combination of stronger growth in China, the end of exceptionalism in the US and less uncertainty on US interest rates, lead to a strong backdrop for EM assets.
Weekly investor research

Gabriel Boric elected President in Chile

China and Turkey eased policy rates, the first minimally, the latter repeating policy mistakes, while Chile, Colombia, Mexico, Hungary and Pakistan hiked policy rates. The centre-left candidate Gabriel Boric was elected as President in Chile.
Market Commentary

A consolidation path for Chinese property

Chinese property markets are going through a significant slowdown that began in Q2 2021. The average slowdown in the previous episodes over the last 20 years lasted four quarters.
Weekly investor research

Argentina gets closer to the IMF as China eases monetary policy

Most EM countries remained in a moderate expansion according to the PMI survey by Markit. Argentina and the IMF nodded to each other. The Brazilian Senate approved a constitutional amendment clearing the path for the 2022 budget.
Weekly investor research

Differentiation is the name of the game

The results of the leading e-commerce Chinese companies highlight the importance of active management in EM equities. Argentina and the IMF sent positive signals towards a new agreement.
Video

'EM in 10' update - October 2021

Today we will be talking about the post-pandemic macro-economic environment. In particular, the outlook for global inflation and how Central banks should react to it.