EM assets keep outperforming as US jobs data softens. Powell faces DOJ subpoena. Trump ordered Fannie/Freddie to buy $200bn MBS, pushing 30y yields down. Iran protests lifted oil; US shielded Venezuela funds; Argentina $3bn repo; Japan snap poll talk.
US operation in Venezuela seized Maduro; AI rally renewed. Hassett tipped as Trump’s next Fed chair. Russian crude exports hold up via Asia; Korea offers repatriation tax breaks to support won. Argentina passes Milei budget; Fitch: Ukraine up, Gabon down.
ECB held; BoE cut 25bp; BoJ hiked 25bp; Thailand/Chile/Mexico eased. US announced $11bn Taiwan arms & blocked Venezuelan oil; EU okayed €90bn Ukraine loan. Fitch/S&P upgrades; Colombia downgraded; Argentina unveiled new FX plan.
The Russian invasion of Ukraine is a shock to the existing world order. From an economic perspective, the initial impact of the war is rising inflation given the importance of Russia and Ukraine in the supply of commodities to the world. The economic...
The Chinese leadership addressed financial stability concerns as economic activity surprised to the upside. South Korean exports remained solid in the 20 days of March. Brazil hiked its policy rate by 100bps to 11.75%. Russia paid the coupon on its...
Russia and Ukraine may negotiate a new cease-fire agreement today as both sides appear to be getting closer to a consensus. Russia increased its fiscal deficits to shore up the economy after sanctions from the West. Ukraine received further financial...
The situation on the ground continues to escalate. The United States Secretary of State Antony Blinken said the US may backfill aircrafts to Poland as the latter sends theirs to Ukraine. Blinken also said the US is considering a full oil embargo on...
The Russo-Ukrainian war is one of, and perhaps the most consequential conflicts since the end of World War 2. We examine the events on the ground, the announced sanctions and a first take on its potential impacts, both intended and unintended.