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Weekly investor research

More US policy drama, more EM outperformance

By Gustavo Medeiros, Ben Underhill
  • EM cross-asset outperformance continues through August.
  • Strong US data and weaker European PMIs indicative of likely reflation in the US vs deflation in Europe.
  • Trump has confirmed he will seek to fire Fed Governor Lisa Cook, escalating his challenge to the central bank’s independence.
  • French PM François Bayrou faces 8 September no-confidence vote.
  • Markets largely shrugged off geopolitical noise after G7 summit in Washington delivered little concrete progress.
  • Global bond funds saw record USD 97bn inflow over the past four weeks.
  • Argentina’s dollar bonds and Peso fell after a fresh corruption scandal linked to Javier Milei’s sister.
  • Moody’s placed PEMEX on review for an upgrade following President Sheinbaum’s announcement of a USD 12bn pre-capitalised bond issuance plan.

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