Balanced scales: Left scale - Oversized USD/US equities. Right scale - Basket with gold bar, commodity, world currencies, EM skyline, bond coupon.
By Gustavo Medeiros, Ben Underhill
The Emerging View

Diversified asset allocation and US fiscal dominance

Volatile post-pandemic macro and US fiscal dominance risks, amid a historic H1-2025 Dollar selloff, are exposing the limits of passive, US-heavy indices. Investors should diversify toward markets less constrained by debt-shadowed central banks.

Subscribe to our insights

Subscribe and get notified as soon as we publish our content

The latest insights from our categories

Sweden and China two flags together. Textile cloth fabric texture.
Weekly investor research

China holds the cards in Stockholm

Europe & Japan face 15% US tariffs despite 'deals'. China may delay 12 Aug deadline by 90 days. India, S. Korea, Thailand talks ongoing. IMF backs Argentina. Brazil FDI weak. Mexico aids Pemex. Poland reshuffles. Türkiye upgraded. Nigeria, Zambia progress

Latest Insights

Weekly investor research
Weekly investor research

Chinese bonds as safe havens

Chinese Fixed Income was one of the few safe haven markets amidst the turbulent interest rate environment in Q1 2021.
Emerging view
The Emerging View

A short note on Peruvian politics

Peru is characterised by a pronounced and somewhat unusual dichotomy between deeply dysfunctional politics and generally strong economic performance.
Weekly investor research
Weekly investor research

Ships blocked, chips scarce

A large containership blocked the Suez Canal last week, disrupting global trade.
Weekly investor research
Weekly investor research

Transitions

Transitions are noisy, but interesting from an investment perspective.
IMF building
Market Commentary

Missing the big picture on IMF lending

In a recent opinion piece in the Financial Times, Ousmene Mandeng makes the point that the lending programmes of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) are defective.
Weekly investor research
Weekly investor research

Another VIX shock suggests opportunities in EM equities

Last week the Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, or VIX as it is more commonly known, spiked by 59% to 33.1, impacting asset prices which, in our opinion, make EM equities and EM local bonds look attractive.
EM and the big Biden growth rotation
Market Commentary

EM and the big Biden growth rotation

In addition to bridging deep social divisions in American society, President Joe Biden faces two important policy challenges. One is to eradicate coronavirus. The other is to turn the economy and voter sentiment.