ChatGPT said: Markets navigated rising political and geopolitical noise as Brazilian election tensions grew, the US moved toward a well-telegraphed December rate cut with a data-dependent path in 2026, and commodities threatened to disrupt disinflation.
The European Union announced most countries will cut oil imports from Russia by the end of 2022. Ukraine grain exports dropped more than 60% from a year ago due to logistical constraints. Global PMIs declined with EM PMIs improving and DM deteriorating...
Equities and fixed income recovered from oversold levels. Russia takes further territory in Donbas as a peace deal remains elusive. Argentina allowed energy companies increasing production to access foreign currency. Brazil inflation was higher than...
Andy Brudenell, Ashmore’s Lead Portfolio Manager for Frontier Market strategies answers questions about why Frontier Markets, and why now for your asset allocation.
US stocks and the US dollar underperformed last week as economic activity slows in the US while EM stocks rebounded. China cut lending rates by 20bps. The Ukraine conflict remained at a stalemate as Russia downplayed the importance of Sweden and...
Finland and Sweden said they would like to join NATO. China’s economic data was much weaker than expected in April, but higher frequency data improved in May. Brazil’s Petrobras hiked diesel prices despite political pressures. Most Chileans said they...
There was no breakthrough from Russia during victory day and no significant sanctions on Russia following the G7 meeting. Brazil hiked policy rate by 100bps to 12.75%, Czech and Poland hiked 75bps to 5.75% and 5.25% respectively while India hiked 40bps...
Russia announced it halted gas supplies to Poland and Bulgaria and said it repaid the Eurobonds before the end of the grace period. Brazilian consumer price inflation rose less than expected. The Chinese politburo sent a strong message of support for...
Gustavo Medeiros, Ashmore’s Head of Research, answers some timely questions about recent events and performance in Emerging Markets for our EM in 10 monthly video review.
Emerging market assets underperformed over the first four months of the year as market participants priced in a much more hawkish hiking cycle by the Fed. At the same time, higher interest rates differentials buoyed the greenback lead the US Dollar...
Risk-off mode as US rates hit cyclical highs, China’s lockdowns persist, and the Ukrainian war enters its second phase. Colombia’s presidential candidate Gustavo Petro promised not to expropriate private property. South Korean exports slowed but remain...
Chinese economic activity was better than expected, but underlying sector data suggests weaker dynamics than meets the eye. Sri Lanka announced the suspension of debt service. Indian inflation surprised to the upside. Indonesian trade surplus rose...
This piece reviews the background and impact of the exclusion of Russia and Belarus from the main Emerging Markets (EM) indices as well as the current market conditions and outlook for Russian and Ukrainian bonds.
Protests in Sri Lanka, Peru and Pakistan have local features but common causes in economic disaffection; In Brazil, Lula confirms his strategic move to the centre ahead of the presidential election; China’s strategy to contain Covid is under strain...
Global Markit Manufacturing PMI indicators softened, as China underperformed due to targeted lockdowns in Shanghai, notably. The increase in ISM prices paid and the depressed level of supplier delivery times in the US Markit PMI provide further...
The Russian invasion of Ukraine is a shock to the existing world order. From an economic perspective, the initial impact of the war is rising inflation given the importance of Russia and Ukraine in the supply of commodities to the world. The economic...