Close-up river stream in forest.
By Gustavo Medeiros, Ben Underhill
The Emerging View

Flows to EM: The end of the beginning

As emerging market (EM) outperformance extends, investors are now frequently asking us about flows to EM assets. In this month’s Emerging View, we review data from Morningstar which confirms our answer: that net inflows have become a reality only since H2

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View across the Strait of Hormuz toward rugged mountains of the Musandam Peninsula in Oman. Small boats rest on the calm water beneath the arid landscape of the northern Arabian Peninsula.
Weekly investor research

Strait of Hormuz disruption enters third week

Oil shock eased as Brent fell back below USD 100, but Hormuz disruption still hit supply and reserves. Brazil retail surprised positively, while Egypt saw record outflows and political strains deepened in Mexico and Brazil.
Oil refinery plant.
Weekly investor research

USD100 oil puts EM outperformance on hold

Oil rose above $100 as Middle East tensions escalated. US payrolls missed badly, China stayed productivity-focused, Indonesia’s outlook was cut, Argentina passed labour reforms, and Poland trimmed rates despite inflation risks.

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Weekly investor research
Weekly investor research

Inflation peaking in EM

Inflation surprised to the downside across most large EM economies in June.
Automobile production line
Weekly investor research

Temporary dip in EM PMIs amid rapid vaccine rollout

Emerging Market (EM) manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) declined 0.7 to 51.3 in June. The Chinese monetary policy committee signalled monetary policy should remain accommodative.
Ashmore video
Video

Ashmore EM Review and Outlook - June 2021

Gustavo Medeiros (Deputy Head of Research), Alexis De Mones (Portfolio Manager) and Adrian Petreanu (Portfolio Manager) review the markets and discuss the outlook for EM.
Weekly investor research
Weekly investor research

The OECD revises EM GDP growth forecasts higher

The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) revised its estimate of global gross domestic product (GDP) growth higher following recent stronger than expected economic data.
Ashmore video
Video

'EM in 10' update

We discuss the outperformance of EM assets in May, driven by a faster vaccination pace across EM countries. We discuss inflation & explain why it is likely to remain elevated in the US throughout the rest of the year, & why it won't be a big deal for EM.
Polar bear on ice
The Emerging View

Seven policy proposals to meet the Paris Agreement objectives

The 2015 Paris Agreement introduced the legally binding goal of maintaining the average global temperature below the pre-industrial revolution average plus 2⁰ Celsius in order to avoid severe stress on natural and socioeconomic systems.