ChatGPT said: Markets navigated rising political and geopolitical noise as Brazilian election tensions grew, the US moved toward a well-telegraphed December rate cut with a data-dependent path in 2026, and commodities threatened to disrupt disinflation.
The G7 summit highlighted and consolidated the new geopolitical reality of a multi-polar world. In the United States (US) stocks are riding high on liquidity with artificial intelligence (AI) the most attractive narrative capturing flows.
It was a good outcome in the Thai presidential elections in terms of fostering liberal economic reforms. In Türkiye, Erdogan won most votes but fell short of the 50% mark, leading to a 28 May run-off. Argentina’s inflation rose further. In Colombia, ...
The US Federal Reserve (Fed) and the European Central Bank (ECB) hiked policy rates by 25 basis points (bps), in line with consensus. Bank Negara Malaysia also hiked by 25bps, but its track record suggests a much better management of macro stability...
Weak leading manufacturing indicators globally. Another bank bites the dust in the United States (US), where negotiations over raising the debt ceiling call for political compromise. Good news from Indonesian politics. Gustavo Petro reshuffled his...
Gustavo Medeiros, Ashmore’s Head of Research, answers some timely questions about recent events and performance in Emerging Markets for our 'EM in 10' monthly video review.
China’s gross domestic product (GDP) growth was surprisingly positive as retail sales accelerated. Brazil showcased its unique environmental potential as its central bank Governor addressed politicians on the reasons behind not yet cutting policy rates.
Emerging Market (EM) stocks and local bonds outperformed last week due to a weaker US dollar, better-than-expected economic data from China, and lower inflation in Brazil and India. Argentina’s inflation increased further, partially due to the drought...
Inflation data is coming in below expectations in Asia. The World Bank and International Monetary Fund (IMF) updated their growth forecasts. Amid its standoff with Taiwan, China tries to soften a defiant European bloc. Japan’s new central bank Governor...
Gustavo Medeiros, Ashmore’s Head of Research, answers some timely questions about recent events and performance in Emerging Markets for our 'EM in 10' monthly video review.
Emerging Markets (EM) have faced a challenging environment over the past five years, due to a series of global shocks that have triggered elevated market volatility and led the MSCI EM equity benchmark to experience its most protracted drawdown in...
OPEC+ members announced a surprise oil production cut. The Brazilian government presented a guideline to consolidate its fiscal accounts. China announced high profile agreements to settle trade in RMB. Saudi Arabia agreed on two strategic investments...
Central banks in the United States (US) and United Kingdom (UK) hiked their policy rates, but framed their forward guidance as data-dependent, mostly due to risks of a significant deterioration in credit conditions. The flash Purchasing Manager Indices...
Credit Suisse was acquired by UBS over the weekend, but there was little market respite as the deal exposed possible capital structure vulnerabilities within the global banking system...
Silicon Valley Bank was the second-largest default of a US bank in modern history. In our view, there is no threat to the overall banking system, but the dynamics will remain negative for smaller US financial institutions...
The global manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) increased, entirely led by Emerging Markets (EM) and supported by the reopening of the Chinese economy...
Economic growth and inflation have surprised to the upside so far in 2023, not only thanks to the reopening of the Chinese economy, but also due to the resilience of the labour markets. The combination of a resilient economy and inflation has boosted...
Leading indicators in February suggested global manufacturing slowed but services advanced after inflation was higher than expected in January – a confusing read for global macro dynamics. China called for a ceasefire and peace process in Ukraine but...
Adrian Petreanu, Portfolio Manager for Emerging Markets Corporate Debt, and Gustavo Medeiros, Ashmore’s Global Head of Research discuss recent developments in the China Real Estate market and the opportunities they believe we will see in the...