MF entrance with sign of International Monetary Fund, concrete architecture building wall security guard doors.
By Gustavo Medeiros
The Emerging View

IMF WEO meeting highlights

Attending the IMF World Economic Outlook Forum provided reassurance that the global macro environment favours risk assets, especially EM/FM. Debasement fears are overblown. AI capex and Fed support keep spirits high.

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Wooden cubes with word Eurobond on euro banknotes
Weekly investor research

China’s new Eurobonds trading inside ‘risk-free rate’

China issued tight 3- and 5-year bonds. Multiple nations accessed Eurobond markets; Congo returned after 18 years. US shutdown neared resolution; job cuts surged to 153k. Democrats won electorally. European carmakers rebounded. Ghana's inflation hit 8.0%
Global finance concept
Weekly investor research

EM assets outperformed again in October

EM equities up a 10th month. US-China truce delays rare earth curbs; US inks deals with Thailand, Cambodia & Malaysia; tariffs remain. Fed cuts 25bp with split. India announces market/strategic metals reforms. Korea lifted by Nvidia’s 260k GPU sale.

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The opportunity of EM real estate

Lower interest rates in the aftermath of the Global Financial Crisis are increasing the affordability of real estate while rendering conventional liquid fixed income in developed economies (DM) less attractive.
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Argentina Q&A

Argentina once again finds itself in the grip of financial turmoil.
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The case for EM local currency debt

The establishment of local bond markets has been the single most important structural change in Emerging Markets (EM) in the past quarter of a century.
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The case for EM external debt

The case for Emerging Markets external debt is solid. The long-term risk-reward has been and remains compelling. The outlook over the medium-term also favours the asset class as the unwinding of distortions in global bond markets attributable to Quantitat
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Beware of Big Fiscal

Picture yourself in charge of the government of a rich country.
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The Emerging View

The 2019-2023 EM fixed income outlook The Emerging View

Emerging Markets (EM) fixed income should deliver compounded returns ranging from 30% to 60% in Dollar terms over the 2019-2023 investment horizon as markets revert to unwinding the so-called QE trades
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US late cycle dynamics and EM bonds

The recent volatility in US stocks may be a warning that the US business cycle expansion is moving into its late stages.
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Convergence, Big Time

A new study shows strong empirical evidence in favour of Emerging Markets (EM) economic convergence, which is arguably the single most important fundamental rationale for allocating to the EM asset class.
Emerging view
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Déjà vu 2002

The 2018 sell-off in EM local markets is more than a mere conventional ‘buy the dip’ opportunity.