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Market Commentary

An update on Russia/Ukraine

By Gustavo Medeiros

Read our latest daily commentary on Russia / Ukraine.

Situation on the ground

  • President Vladimir Putin said the negotiations with Ukraine are being held on a daily basis and there has been certain positive shifts in direction.
  • Belarus reported that the power supply to the Chernobyl nuclear power plant was restored.
  • Earlier in the day, Russian Defence Minister Shoigu said Russia was planning to reinforce the Western borders and over 16k fighters from Syria could join the fight in Ukraine.
  • Last night Russia accused Ukraine of having biological and chemical weapons. Ukrainian president Zelensky vehemently denied the allegations.
  • President Joe Biden vetoed the idea of sending aircrafts to Poland in exchange of MiG planes to be sent to Ukraine due to the risk of escalating the conflict to a direct confrontation between NATO and Russia. Biden reiterated the US would not fight the war against Russia in Ukraine.

Market update

  • Russia announced an export ban for more than 200 products in retaliation to sanctions imposed by the West. However, the list did not include sales of energy and raw materials.
  • Western countries threatened to implement more sanctions, but Europe is still not blocking the purchase of oil and gas from Russia.
  • The US is looking to lift Russia’s “most favoured nation” trade status from Russia, opening the door for import tariffs.
  • Japan joined the US and EU in banning semiconductor exports to Russia and Belarus.
  • Press sources reported the Central Bank and the Russian stock exchange MOEX are looking at alternatives to resume trading without allowing a collapse in prices. The stock exchange last opened on the 25 February.
  • Reopening the market for local currency sovereign debt (OFZ’s) is also under consideration.

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