Blue lake on a snowy mountains background and cloudy sky Torres del paine
By Gustavo Medeiros, Ben Underhill
The Emerging View

Latin America: Monroe Doctrine 2.0 amid a transition to the right

With politics shifting back towards the market-friendly right, earnings growth improving and the outlook for commodities becoming structurally bullish given the ongoing arms race for AI, defence and energy, Latin America is again back on investors’ radars

Subscribe to our insights

Subscribe and get notified as soon as we publish our content

The latest insights from our categories

Beautiful night scene of tokyo skyline
Weekly investor research

USD weakness, JPY strength and more EM outperformance

Yen surged on US Treasury activity amid benign US inflation. India-EU trade and Colombia/Chile fiscal reforms highlight EM shifts. Global diplomacy saw US-Ukraine-Russia talks, while Fitch boosted Türkiye and Gabon resumed IMF engagement.
Colourful houses at sunset in the capital of Greenland, Nuuk.
Weekly investor research

Greenland, tariffs, and yet another case for EU capital repatriation

Trump threatens 10% tariffs on goods from 8 European nations from 1 Feb, rising to 25% by 1 Jun unless Greenland sale talks advance. China posts record surplus; FX flows hint USD weakening. US CPI softer; Argentina/Brazil updates; UAE assets up 23%.

Latest Insights

Market commentary
Market Commentary

Saudi Arabia’s Big Year

It was announced on 28 March that Saudi Arabia will be a constituent of the FTSE Emerging Markets index.
Market commentary
Market Commentary

The limits of protectionism

Last night the US government announced details of a USD 50bn package of tariffs on Chinese imports.
Market commentary
Market Commentary

Second Chance Saloon

Emerging Markets equity investors have once again over reacted to Developed Market events.
Emerging view
The Emerging View

2018 EM fixed income outlook

2018 is likely to see strong inflows to EM local markets on the back of strong performance, good value and improving fundamentals.
Emerging view
The Emerging View

The DM savings glut

In 2005 Former Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke argued that a savings glut in EM explained the US current account deficit.
Emerging view
The Emerging View

EM risk-free return

Last night’s S&P downgrade of El Salvador’s credit rating to Selective Default makes this report on Emerging Markets (EM) external debt extremely timely.
Emerging view
The Emerging View

Intra-EM trade

The view that Developed Market bonds are risk-free and that Emerging Markets (EMs) bonds are risky remains deeply entrenched.
Market commentary
Market Commentary

What’s down with the Dollar?

Quantitative Easing (QE) was the largest and most distortionary intervention ever made in global bond markets and it particularly favoured US markets.