South America lit up by city lights.
By Felipe Gomez Bridge, Gustavo Medeiros, Ben Underhill
The Emerging View

Latin American Equities

LatAm was EM's worst performer in 2024, but is rebounding sharply in 2025. Colombia leads YTD gains at 49%, followed by Mexico, Chile, Brazil, and Peru. With elections ahead and market-friendly shifts likely, investors see a cyclical opportunity.

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EM leads the H1 2025 race as equities climb another ‘wall of worry’

EM assets outperformed on weaker USD. Equities shrugged off global risks. China data mixed; Malaysia CPI soft. Colombia downgraded; Mexico revised GDP up. Brazil fiscal woes linger. Chile polarised. E. Europe defence spend challenge. MENA mostly positive.
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Markets remain calm after US strikes on Iran’s nuclear sites

US bombed Iranian nuclear sites; low oil disruption risk priced. US data weakens; Fed sees 2 cuts in 2025. China to scrap most Africa tariffs. Thai coalition splits. Brazil hikes to 15%. Colombia ups 2025 borrowing. Ghana gets Fitch upgrade.
Dascht e Lut, Wüste, IranDasht-e Lut Iran, colored mountains Unesco world heritage site
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Geopolitical risks spike again

Israel attacked Iran’s nuclear sites, lifting oil prices but not the dollar. US eyes easing China trade curbs for rare earths. EM debt saw $3.8bn inflows. Strong data from China, Korea. Loans for South Africa, Ecuador. Mexico signals 50bps cut.

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