ChatGPT said: Markets navigated rising political and geopolitical noise as Brazilian election tensions grew, the US moved toward a well-telegraphed December rate cut with a data-dependent path in 2026, and commodities threatened to disrupt disinflation.
Sell-side economists revised real GDP growth higher in July across two-thirds of emerging markets (EM) and frontier markets (FM) countries, while lower revisions affected one-third of EM economies.
Emerging Market (EM) manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) declined 0.7 to 51.3 in June. The Chinese monetary policy committee signalled monetary policy should remain accommodative.
Emerging Markets (EM) countries are now vaccinating their populations at a faster rate than developed markets (DM), strengthening the outlook for economic recovery.
Please join Ashmore’s Deputy Head of Research, Gustavo Medeiros, as he discusses the potential impacts of US inflation on Emerging Markets Equity and Fixed Income.
Gustavo Medeiros (Deputy Head of Research), Alexis De Mones (Portfolio Manager) and Adrian Petreanu (Portfolio Manager) review the markets and discuss the outlook for EM.
The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) revised its estimate of global gross domestic product (GDP) growth higher following recent stronger than expected economic data.
We discuss the outperformance of EM assets in May, driven by a faster vaccination pace across EM countries. We discuss inflation & explain why it is likely to remain elevated in the US throughout the rest of the year, & why it won't be a big deal for EM.
Inflation is likely to remain high in 2021. The primary source of price pressures is the rebound in commodity prices after their sharp collapse last year.