Weekly investor research
Positioning shock, policy opportunity: Clearing the decks for the next leg
- Warsh nomination for Fed Chair pierced the precious metals mania and knocked Bitcoin.
- Warsh is expected to deliver institutional change, rate cuts and a smaller balance sheet.
- In geopolitics, tensions with Iran remained elevated amid Ukraine ceasefire talks.
- China’s Xi Jinping calls for RMB to become global reserve currency and states preference for a slow equity bull market.
- India’s budget increases taxes on derivatives trading to rein-in financial market excesses.
- Korea’s exports surged alongside semiconductor sales and profits.
- Brazil held its key rate at 15%, Colombia hiked +100bps to 10.25%, Uruguay cut by 100bps to 6.25%.
- Ecuador new issuance repriced its curve with positive spillover to Argentina.
- Ghana cut rates 25bps to 15.5% and Moody’s upgraded Kenya to ‘B3’.