Weekly investor research
Weekly investor research

Positioning shock, policy opportunity: Clearing the decks for the next leg

By Gustavo Medeiros, Ben Underhill
  • Warsh nomination for Fed Chair pierced the precious metals mania and knocked Bitcoin.
  • Warsh is expected to deliver institutional change, rate cuts and a smaller balance sheet.
  • In geopolitics, tensions with Iran remained elevated amid Ukraine ceasefire talks.
  • China’s Xi Jinping calls for RMB to become global reserve currency and states preference for a slow equity bull market.
  • India’s budget increases taxes on derivatives trading to rein-in financial market excesses.
  • Korea’s exports surged alongside semiconductor sales and profits.
  • Brazil held its key rate at 15%, Colombia hiked +100bps to 10.25%, Uruguay cut by 100bps to 6.25%.
  • Ecuador new issuance repriced its curve with positive spillover to Argentina.
  • Ghana cut rates 25bps to 15.5% and Moody’s upgraded Kenya to ‘B3’.

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