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A nervous market shifts its attention from Ukraine to US treasuries

Weekly investor research

15 September 2014

Geopolitical risk occurs when domestic political dynamics extends beyond a country’s borders and interacts with political dynamics in other countries. Geopolitical risk is complex, but ultimately entirely ‘analysable’, provided investors take research seriously. However, this week global sentiment was increasingly held hostage by the effect of financial tightening on US equity markets rather than the Russia-Ukraine situation. We think the more rational assessment of Russia-Ukraine is positive, but we do not expect the tightening of financial conditions in the US to become a major problem for Emerging Market (EM) countries.

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