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Lemons and cherries in global asset allocation

Weekly investor research

14 October 2013

The Chinese word for crisis is made up of two characters: ‘danger’ and ‘opportunity’. Another week of data from Emerging Markets (EM) shows that the summer’s sell-off was more of the latter than the former. We highlight a few important developments, including improving trade numbers in India, falling inflation in Brazil, Mexico, and Czech Republic, debt problems in Serbia, an innovation in Brazilian politics and the latest development in Argentina’s legal battle with holdout investors. We then present our view on Janet Yellen’s candidacy for Fed Chair and we apply her insights about adverse selection to global asset allocation. The results are both insightful and disturbing.

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